☕ coffeeai 🗺️ the long road
OPEN QUESTIONS · TRACKED LIVE

Open questions

The arguments in AI that are still genuinely unsettled — framed fairly, with the real camps and what would actually decide them. The road is what happened; this is what we don’t know yet. When a question settles, it lands on the road as a new stop.

TWELVE LIVE QUESTIONS · TRACKED AS THEY MOVE

The map

Twelve open questions, grouped by what they're really about

Twelve questions, grouped by what they're really about. Size and steam track how much is riding on each one right now; the dashed threads mark pairs that can't be settled independently — answer one and you've moved the other. Pick up a cup to sit down with it.

The conversations

Every question, with its camps and what would settle it

Not news — standing disagreements. Each one framed fairly, with the real camps, what would settle it, and how it moved lately. Sources are the writers and researchers doing the primary thinking: Dwarkesh Patel, Nathan Lambert, Epoch AI, SemiAnalysis, Zvi Mowshowitz, the labs themselves.

Settled

Questions reality has already answered

Every stop on the road was once a cup on one of these tables. Recently cleared:

“Can a machine find a result human mathematicians missed?”→ settled May 2026 →the Erdős disproof
“Will governments ever control model weights directly?”→ settled Jun 2026 →the Fable 5 export order
“Can open weights reach the frontier?”→ settled Jul 2026 →Kimi K3, 3–5 months behind

Grab a coffee every morning

One short note at dawn: what moved on the road, and which questions got hotter overnight. No news dump — the two or three things worth knowing, and why.

Every morning. One cup. Unsubscribe in one click.